Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computing

Quantum computing with error correction, enabling arbitrarily long and accurate computations.


Fault-Tolerant Quantum Computing (FTQC) is the ultimate goal: quantum computers that can run arbitrarily long computations with arbitrarily low error rates.

NISQ vs FTQC

AspectNISQFTQC
Error correctionNoneFull
QubitsPhysicalLogical
Circuit depth~100-1000Unlimited
Error rate~0.1-1% per gate~ or better
Computation typeLimitedUniversal

Requirements for FTQC

1. Below-Threshold Error Rates

Physical error rate (threshold). For surface code:

2. Enough Physical Qubits

Ratio of physical to logical qubits:

  • Near threshold: ~1000:1
  • Below threshold: Can be ~100:1

3. Fast Classical Processing

  • Decode error syndromes in real-time
  • Faster than errors accumulate
  • Challenging at scale

4. Mid-Circuit Measurement

  • Measure syndromes during computation
  • Feed-forward based on results

5. Scalable Architecture

  • Millions of physical qubits eventually
  • Manageable control systems

What FTQC Enables

ApplicationWhy FTQC Is Needed
Shor’s algorithmDeep circuits, many operations
Large molecular simulationsPrecision requires many gates
Arbitrary quantum algorithmsNo depth limitations

The FTQC Stack

┌────────────────────────────┐
│    Quantum Applications    │
├────────────────────────────┤
│    Logical Operations      │
├────────────────────────────┤
│    Error Correction        │
│    (Surface code, etc.)    │
├────────────────────────────┤
│    Physical Qubits         │
│    (Hardware platform)     │
└────────────────────────────┘

Resource Estimates

For useful computations:

TaskLogical QubitsPhysical Qubits (estimated)
Factor 2048-bit RSA~4,000~4-20 million
Simulate FeMoco~4,000~4-20 million
Quantum chemistry100-1000100K-10M

Timeline

PhaseDescriptionTimeline
CurrentNISQ devicesNow
Near-termError correction demos2024-2026
Medium-termEarly FTQC2027-2030
Long-termFull FTQC2030s+

Timelines are highly uncertain.

Current Progress

  • Below-threshold operations: Demonstrated
  • Logical qubits: Created, but not yet better than physical
  • Logical operations: Demonstrated at small scale
  • Full FTQC: Not yet achieved

The Challenge Ahead

Physical error rate:     ~0.1%    ✓ Achieved
                              ↓
Logical error rate:      ~10⁻⁶   ? In progress
                              ↓
Required for utility:    ~10⁻¹⁰  ✗ Far to go

Scaling from ~100 qubits to millions while maintaining quality.


See also: NISQ, Quantum Error Correction, Surface Code, Logical Qubit, Fault Tolerance