Quantum Advantage

A quantum computer solving a useful problem better than classical computers. The practical goal of quantum computing.


Quantum advantage (sometimes called quantum utility) is when a quantum computer outperforms classical computers on a problem that actually matters.

Advantage vs Supremacy

AspectQuantum SupremacyQuantum Advantage
Problem typeCan be artificialMust be useful
UsefulnessNot requiredRequired
VerificationStatisticalPractical value
StatusClaimed (2019+)Being pursued

What “Advantage” Means

The quantum solution must be better in some meaningful way:

  • Faster: Less time to solution
  • Cheaper: Less resources (energy, hardware)
  • Better quality: More accurate results
  • Newly possible: Enables previously impossible computations

Candidate Applications

Near-Term (NISQ Era)

ApplicationStatusChallenge
Quantum chemistryActive researchNoise, accuracy
OptimizationActive researchUnclear advantage
Machine learningExploredFinding right problems
FinanceExploredDefining clear advantage

Long-Term (Fault-Tolerant)

ApplicationExpected Impact
CryptanalysisBreak RSA, ECC
Drug discoveryMolecular simulation
Materials designSuperconductors, catalysts
OptimizationLogistics, scheduling

Challenges to Achieving Advantage

Moving Classical Target

Classical algorithms improve:

  • Tensor networks for quantum simulation
  • Better heuristics for optimization
  • GPU acceleration

Fair Comparison

Must compare:

  • Best quantum algorithm vs best classical
  • On same problem and metric
  • Including all overheads

Practical Constraints

  • Error correction overhead
  • Problem encoding costs
  • Input/output bottlenecks

IBM’s “Utility” Experiments (2023)

IBM demonstrated:

  • 127-qubit processor (Eagle)
  • Physics simulation task
  • Results matching classical (where possible)
  • Extended beyond classical verification

Controversial whether this counts as “advantage.”

The Gap

Quantum supremacy: ✓ Demonstrated (artificial problems)
                    │
        [We are here - trying to bridge the gap]
                    │
Quantum advantage: ? Not yet clear (useful problems)

When Will We See It?

Estimates vary widely:

  • Optimistic: Already happening / imminent
  • Moderate: 5-10 years
  • Conservative: Requires fault tolerance

Depends heavily on what counts as “useful.”


See also: Quantum Supremacy, NISQ, Quantum Speedup, Quantum Simulation